Live oil stress tracking
Where the supply shock actually lands.
Reserves Monitor tracks country-level oil stress after the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz in early March 2026. The map updates hourly from a global news agent, but the country scores themselves come from deterministic calculations.
Scenario date 2026-03-20. Loading live snapshot.
The map is interactive on hover. The default risk view colors countries by modeled supply gap. The days-of-cover layer is inverted so darker shading means thinner cover.
Highest Current Gaps
This list is where the real signal is. The model runs globally once per hour, then applies deterministic country calculations instead of asking the model to score every country one by one.
What The Site Measures
The main risk layer is modeled supply gap, not headline reserves. For a chokepoint shock, the question is how long each country can cover demand with surviving imports, domestic production, and emergency stocks.