Europe

United Kingdom fuel cover monitor

UK product cover is workable but not deep, and gas coverage remains one of the main uncertainty drivers for the country page.

27.0 daysPetrol days left
24.6 daysOverall fuel cover
20.2 daysDisruption-adjusted cover

Last verified 3/21/2026, 9:10:00 AM. Snapshot generated 3/20/2026, 4:10:09 PM.

Warnings

  • 1 layer is still low-confidence because the live figure is inferred rather than directly reported.

Key signals

  • Petrol cover is 27 days with a media badge.
  • LNG is the thinnest primary layer at 17 days.
  • PETROL moved -2 days week on week.

Current view

Current days left by fuel type

Each figure jumps to the live claim card for that fuel layer.

Recent verified changes

  • Diesel moved to 32.0 days6.0 days week on week · source date 2026-03-17

    United Kingdom DIESEL cover moved 6 days week on week.

  • LPG moved to 20.0 days6.0 days week on week · source date 2026-03-17

    United Kingdom LPG cover moved 6 days week on week.

  • Crude moved to 43.0 days6.0 days week on week · source date 2026-03-17

    United Kingdom CRUDE cover moved 6 days week on week.

  • Petrol moved to 27.0 days5.0 days week on week · source date 2026-03-17

    United Kingdom PETROL cover moved 5 days week on week.

  • Jet fuel moved to 23.0 days5.0 days week on week · source date 2026-03-17

    United Kingdom JET cover moved 5 days week on week.

  • LNG moved to 17.0 days5.0 days week on week · source date 2026-03-16

    United Kingdom LNG cover moved 5 days week on week.

Methodology for this country page

Reserves Monitor never treats the article publish date as the stock measurement date. Each live claim stores a separate source date, extraction time, and last checked time.

The public confidence score is deterministic. It is reduced for non-official sources, inferred calculations, on-water or mixed stock scope, and stale source windows.

Read the source ranking and validation policy

Evidence trail

Live source cards

Official sources rank first. Media or modelled values are labeled explicitly.

  • Petrol
    Media27.0 days
    Open source

    Uses weekly stock and consumption data to estimate days left for road fuels and jet. Official volumes exist, but cover is derived.

    Source titleOil and petroleum products weekly statistics
    PublisherUK Government
    Source date2026-03-17
    Published date3/18/2026, 9:30:00 AM
    Extracted date3/21/2026, 12:15:00 AM
    Last checked3/21/2026, 8:55:00 AM
    Classificationreporting extracted
    Confidence63/100 · medium

    Snippet: Inventories remain steady but not abundant.

    • No official day-cover figure found for the same measurement window.
    • Publisher passed the editorial ranking threshold.
    • Days-of-cover figure cross-checked against at least one secondary signal.
  • Diesel
    Media32.0 days
    Open source

    Uses weekly stock and consumption data to estimate days left for road fuels and jet. Official volumes exist, but cover is derived.

    Source titleOil and petroleum products weekly statistics
    PublisherUK Government
    Source date2026-03-17
    Published date3/18/2026, 9:30:00 AM
    Extracted date3/21/2026, 12:15:00 AM
    Last checked3/21/2026, 8:55:00 AM
    Classificationreporting extracted
    Confidence63/100 · medium

    Snippet: Inventories remain steady but not abundant.

    • No official day-cover figure found for the same measurement window.
    • Publisher passed the editorial ranking threshold.
    • Days-of-cover figure cross-checked against at least one secondary signal.
  • Jet fuel
    Media23.0 days
    Open source

    Uses weekly stock and consumption data to estimate days left for road fuels and jet. Official volumes exist, but cover is derived.

    Source titleOil and petroleum products weekly statistics
    PublisherUK Government
    Source date2026-03-17
    Published date3/18/2026, 9:30:00 AM
    Extracted date3/21/2026, 12:15:00 AM
    Last checked3/21/2026, 8:55:00 AM
    Classificationreporting extracted
    Confidence63/100 · medium

    Snippet: Inventories remain steady but not abundant.

    • No official day-cover figure found for the same measurement window.
    • Publisher passed the editorial ranking threshold.
    • Days-of-cover figure cross-checked against at least one secondary signal.
  • LPG
    Media20.0 days
    Open source

    Uses weekly stock and consumption data to estimate days left for road fuels and jet. Official volumes exist, but cover is derived.

    Source titleOil and petroleum products weekly statistics
    PublisherUK Government
    Source date2026-03-17
    Published date3/18/2026, 9:30:00 AM
    Extracted date3/21/2026, 12:15:00 AM
    Last checked3/21/2026, 8:55:00 AM
    Classificationreporting extracted
    Confidence63/100 · medium

    Snippet: Inventories remain steady but not abundant.

    • No official day-cover figure found for the same measurement window.
    • Publisher passed the editorial ranking threshold.
    • Days-of-cover figure cross-checked against at least one secondary signal.
  • LNG
    Estimated17.0 days
    Open source

    Estimates LNG-equivalent cover from storage, linepack, and recent send-out because the UK does not publish a single live days-cover figure.

    Source titleSecurity of gas supply outlook
    PublisherOfgem
    Source date2026-03-16
    Published date3/17/2026, 11:15:00 AM
    Extracted date3/21/2026, 12:18:00 AM
    Last checked3/21/2026, 8:55:00 AM
    Classificationinferred modelled
    Confidence38/100 · low

    Snippet: Storage and import flexibility remain tight.

    • No direct stock-days figure published by an official source.
    • Estimate derived from inventories, runs, or import cadence with explicit caveats.
    • Flagged for monitoring until a fresher direct source appears.
  • Crude
    Official43.0 days
    Open source

    Converts reported crude inventories and refinery intake into crude-cover days.

    Source titleCrude oil stocks and refinery intake summary
    PublisherUK Government
    Source date2026-03-17
    Published date3/18/2026, 9:30:00 AM
    Extracted date3/21/2026, 12:20:00 AM
    Last checked3/21/2026, 8:55:00 AM
    Classificationreporting extracted
    Confidence80/100 · high

    Snippet: Crude cover remains better than products.

    • Official publisher domain matched the source registry.
    • Fuel unit normalized to days of cover before publication.
    • Measurement date captured separately from article date.
  • Helium
    Model19.0 days
    Open source

    Helium cover is carried as a clearly labeled modelled reserve layer. It is maintained separately from core fuel-cover layers and is not blended into the overall fuel metric.

    Source titleReserves Monitor helium reserve model
    PublisherReserves Monitor
    Source date2026-03-17
    Published date3/18/2026, 9:30:00 AM
    Extracted date3/21/2026, 12:20:00 AM
    Last checked3/21/2026, 8:55:00 AM
    Classificationinferred modelled
    Confidence46/100 · low

    Snippet: Helium reserve cover is shown as a clearly labeled modelled layer.

    • Derived only from live approved country fuel claims.
    • Underlying source dates and badges are preserved on each component layer.
    • Modelled layer is clearly labeled and linked to methodology.
  • Overall fuel cover
    Model24.6 days
    Open source

    Weighted composite of petrol, diesel, jet, LPG, and LNG live claims. Crude is shown separately and is not blended into the public overall-fuel number.

    Source titleReserves Monitor weighted fuel-cover methodology
    PublisherReserves Monitor
    Source date2026-03-17
    Published date3/18/2026, 9:30:00 AM
    Extracted date3/21/2026, 12:20:00 AM
    Last checked3/21/2026, 8:55:00 AM
    Classificationinferred modelled
    Confidence56/100 · low

    Snippet: Composite cover uses weighted live fuel layers.

    • Derived only from live approved country fuel claims.
    • Underlying source dates and badges are preserved on each component layer.
    • Modelled layer is clearly labeled and linked to methodology.
  • Disruption-adjusted cover
    Model20.2 days
    Open source

    Applies the country import-stress penalty to the weighted overall-fuel layer. This is explicitly modelled and does not replace directly sourced fuel layers.

    Source titleReserves Monitor disruption-adjusted cover model
    PublisherReserves Monitor
    Source date2026-03-17
    Published date3/18/2026, 9:30:00 AM
    Extracted date3/21/2026, 12:20:00 AM
    Last checked3/21/2026, 8:55:00 AM
    Classificationinferred modelled
    Confidence48/100 · low

    Snippet: Import reliance discounts the overall cover estimate.

    • Derived only from live approved country fuel claims.
    • Underlying source dates and badges are preserved on each component layer.
    • Modelled layer is clearly labeled and linked to methodology.

Archive

Superseded claim history

Older approved claims stay archived instead of being silently overwritten.

  • Petrol previously sat at 22.0 daysSource date 2026-03-10 · Media · superseded by gbr petrol live

    Uses weekly stock and consumption data to estimate days left for road fuels and jet. Official volumes exist, but cover is derived.

  • Diesel previously sat at 26.0 daysSource date 2026-03-10 · Media · superseded by gbr diesel live

    Uses weekly stock and consumption data to estimate days left for road fuels and jet. Official volumes exist, but cover is derived.

  • Jet fuel previously sat at 18.0 daysSource date 2026-03-10 · Media · superseded by gbr jet live

    Uses weekly stock and consumption data to estimate days left for road fuels and jet. Official volumes exist, but cover is derived.

  • LPG previously sat at 14.0 daysSource date 2026-03-10 · Media · superseded by gbr lpg live

    Uses weekly stock and consumption data to estimate days left for road fuels and jet. Official volumes exist, but cover is derived.

  • LNG previously sat at 12.0 daysSource date 2026-03-09 · Estimated · superseded by gbr lng live

    Estimates LNG-equivalent cover from storage, linepack, and recent send-out because the UK does not publish a single live days-cover figure.

  • Crude previously sat at 37.0 daysSource date 2026-03-10 · Official · superseded by gbr crude live

    Converts reported crude inventories and refinery intake into crude-cover days.