Oceania

New Zealand fuel cover monitor

New Zealand still shows usable headline cover, but the disruption-adjusted estimate compresses quickly once import stress is applied.

19.0 daysPetrol days left
16.3 daysOverall fuel cover
11.3 daysDisruption-adjusted cover

Last verified 3/21/2026, 9:10:00 AM. Snapshot generated 3/20/2026, 4:10:09 PM.

Warnings

  • 6 layers are still low-confidence because the live figure is inferred rather than directly reported.
  • Modeled disruption-adjusted cover falls below two weeks.

Key signals

  • Petrol cover is 19 days with a estimated badge.
  • LNG is the thinnest primary layer at 10 days.
  • PETROL moved -4 days week on week.

Current view

Current days left by fuel type

Each figure jumps to the live claim card for that fuel layer.

Recent verified changes

  • LNG moved to 10.0 days6.0 days week on week · source date 2026-03-17

    New Zealand LNG cover moved 6 days week on week.

  • LPG moved to 12.0 days6.0 days week on week · source date 2026-03-16

    New Zealand LPG cover moved 6 days week on week.

  • Jet fuel moved to 15.0 days5.0 days week on week · source date 2026-03-16

    New Zealand JET cover moved 5 days week on week.

  • Diesel moved to 22.0 days4.0 days week on week · source date 2026-03-16

    New Zealand DIESEL cover moved 4 days week on week.

  • Petrol moved to 19.0 days3.0 days week on week · source date 2026-03-16

    New Zealand PETROL cover moved 3 days week on week.

  • Crude moved to 24.0 days4.0 days week on week · source date 2026-03-15

    New Zealand CRUDE cover moved 4 days week on week.

Methodology for this country page

Reserves Monitor never treats the article publish date as the stock measurement date. Each live claim stores a separate source date, extraction time, and last checked time.

The public confidence score is deterministic. It is reduced for non-official sources, inferred calculations, on-water or mixed stock scope, and stale source windows.

Read the source ranking and validation policy

Evidence trail

Live source cards

Official sources rank first. Media or modelled values are labeled explicitly.

  • Petrol
    Estimated19.0 days
    Open source

    Uses published oil stock series, import cadence, and terminal inventory commentary to estimate days left by refined product.

    Source titleOil stocks and fuel resilience update
    PublisherMinistry of Business, Innovation and Employment
    Source date2026-03-16
    Published date3/17/2026, 1:20:00 AM
    Extracted date3/20/2026, 10:20:00 PM
    Last checked3/21/2026, 7:40:00 AM
    Classificationinferred modelled
    Confidence38/100 · low

    Snippet: Domestic storage and import arrivals remain the key constraints.

    • No direct stock-days figure published by an official source.
    • Estimate derived from inventories, runs, or import cadence with explicit caveats.
    • Flagged for monitoring until a fresher direct source appears.
  • Diesel
    Estimated22.0 days
    Open source

    Uses published oil stock series, import cadence, and terminal inventory commentary to estimate days left by refined product.

    Source titleOil stocks and fuel resilience update
    PublisherMinistry of Business, Innovation and Employment
    Source date2026-03-16
    Published date3/17/2026, 1:20:00 AM
    Extracted date3/20/2026, 10:20:00 PM
    Last checked3/21/2026, 7:40:00 AM
    Classificationinferred modelled
    Confidence38/100 · low

    Snippet: Domestic storage and import arrivals remain the key constraints.

    • No direct stock-days figure published by an official source.
    • Estimate derived from inventories, runs, or import cadence with explicit caveats.
    • Flagged for monitoring until a fresher direct source appears.
  • Jet fuel
    Estimated15.0 days
    Open source

    Uses published oil stock series, import cadence, and terminal inventory commentary to estimate days left by refined product.

    Source titleOil stocks and fuel resilience update
    PublisherMinistry of Business, Innovation and Employment
    Source date2026-03-16
    Published date3/17/2026, 1:20:00 AM
    Extracted date3/20/2026, 10:20:00 PM
    Last checked3/21/2026, 7:40:00 AM
    Classificationinferred modelled
    Confidence38/100 · low

    Snippet: Domestic storage and import arrivals remain the key constraints.

    • No direct stock-days figure published by an official source.
    • Estimate derived from inventories, runs, or import cadence with explicit caveats.
    • Flagged for monitoring until a fresher direct source appears.
  • LPG
    Estimated12.0 days
    Open source

    Uses published oil stock series, import cadence, and terminal inventory commentary to estimate days left by refined product.

    Source titleOil stocks and fuel resilience update
    PublisherMinistry of Business, Innovation and Employment
    Source date2026-03-16
    Published date3/17/2026, 1:20:00 AM
    Extracted date3/20/2026, 10:20:00 PM
    Last checked3/21/2026, 7:40:00 AM
    Classificationinferred modelled
    Confidence38/100 · low

    Snippet: Domestic storage and import arrivals remain the key constraints.

    • No direct stock-days figure published by an official source.
    • Estimate derived from inventories, runs, or import cadence with explicit caveats.
    • Flagged for monitoring until a fresher direct source appears.
  • LNG
    Estimated10.0 days
    Open source

    Approximates LNG-equivalent cover from stored gas, linepack, and recent demand. This remains a low-confidence estimate.

    Source titleGas availability and storage note
    PublisherGas Industry Company
    Source date2026-03-17
    Published date3/18/2026, 2:15:00 AM
    Extracted date3/20/2026, 10:25:00 PM
    Last checked3/21/2026, 7:35:00 AM
    Classificationinferred modelled
    Confidence48/100 · low

    Snippet: Storage flexibility is limited.

    • No direct stock-days figure published by an official source.
    • Estimate derived from inventories, runs, or import cadence with explicit caveats.
    • Flagged for monitoring until a fresher direct source appears.
  • Crude
    Media24.0 days
    Open source

    Uses shipping and terminal reporting to estimate how many days of crude-equivalent feedstock remain accessible to the market.

    Source titlePacific product import monitor
    PublisherReuters
    Source date2026-03-15
    Published date3/15/2026, 11:00:00 AM
    Extracted date3/20/2026, 10:30:00 PM
    Last checked3/21/2026, 7:30:00 AM
    Classificationreporting extracted
    Confidence59/100 · low

    Snippet: Most flexibility comes from seaborne arrivals.

    • No official day-cover figure found for the same measurement window.
    • Publisher passed the editorial ranking threshold.
    • Days-of-cover figure cross-checked against at least one secondary signal.
  • Helium
    Model18.0 days
    Open source

    Helium cover is carried as a clearly labeled modelled reserve layer. It is maintained separately from core fuel-cover layers and is not blended into the overall fuel metric.

    Source titleReserves Monitor helium reserve model
    PublisherReserves Monitor
    Source date2026-03-17
    Published date3/18/2026, 2:15:00 AM
    Extracted date3/20/2026, 10:30:00 PM
    Last checked3/21/2026, 7:40:00 AM
    Classificationinferred modelled
    Confidence27/100 · low

    Snippet: Helium reserve cover is shown as a clearly labeled modelled layer.

    • Derived only from live approved country fuel claims.
    • Underlying source dates and badges are preserved on each component layer.
    • Modelled layer is clearly labeled and linked to methodology.
  • Overall fuel cover
    Model16.3 days
    Open source

    Weighted composite of petrol, diesel, jet, LPG, and LNG live claims. Crude is shown separately and is not blended into the public overall-fuel number.

    Source titleReserves Monitor weighted fuel-cover methodology
    PublisherReserves Monitor
    Source date2026-03-17
    Published date3/18/2026, 2:15:00 AM
    Extracted date3/20/2026, 10:30:00 PM
    Last checked3/21/2026, 7:40:00 AM
    Classificationinferred modelled
    Confidence37/100 · low

    Snippet: Composite cover uses weighted live fuel layers.

    • Derived only from live approved country fuel claims.
    • Underlying source dates and badges are preserved on each component layer.
    • Modelled layer is clearly labeled and linked to methodology.
  • Disruption-adjusted cover
    Model11.3 days
    Open source

    Applies the country import-stress penalty to the weighted overall-fuel layer. This is explicitly modelled and does not replace directly sourced fuel layers.

    Source titleReserves Monitor disruption-adjusted cover model
    PublisherReserves Monitor
    Source date2026-03-17
    Published date3/18/2026, 2:15:00 AM
    Extracted date3/20/2026, 10:30:00 PM
    Last checked3/21/2026, 7:40:00 AM
    Classificationinferred modelled
    Confidence29/100 · low

    Snippet: Import reliance discounts the overall cover estimate.

    • Derived only from live approved country fuel claims.
    • Underlying source dates and badges are preserved on each component layer.
    • Modelled layer is clearly labeled and linked to methodology.

Archive

Superseded claim history

Older approved claims stay archived instead of being silently overwritten.

  • Petrol previously sat at 16.0 daysSource date 2026-03-09 · Estimated · superseded by nzl petrol live

    Uses published oil stock series, import cadence, and terminal inventory commentary to estimate days left by refined product.

  • Diesel previously sat at 18.0 daysSource date 2026-03-09 · Estimated · superseded by nzl diesel live

    Uses published oil stock series, import cadence, and terminal inventory commentary to estimate days left by refined product.

  • Jet fuel previously sat at 10.0 daysSource date 2026-03-09 · Estimated · superseded by nzl jet live

    Uses published oil stock series, import cadence, and terminal inventory commentary to estimate days left by refined product.

  • LPG previously sat at 6.0 daysSource date 2026-03-09 · Estimated · superseded by nzl lpg live

    Uses published oil stock series, import cadence, and terminal inventory commentary to estimate days left by refined product.

  • LNG previously sat at 4.0 daysSource date 2026-03-10 · Estimated · superseded by nzl lng live

    Approximates LNG-equivalent cover from stored gas, linepack, and recent demand. This remains a low-confidence estimate.

  • Crude previously sat at 20.0 daysSource date 2026-03-08 · Media · superseded by nzl crude live

    Uses shipping and terminal reporting to estimate how many days of crude-equivalent feedstock remain accessible to the market.